Macro
President Trump’s shift to a temporary 15% global tariff following a Supreme Court ruling is creating clear winners and losers. While overall US tariff rates decline, nations that negotiated lower deals now face increases, and markets are reacting to renewed trade uncertainty.
Across earnings, macro headlines, and sector shifts, markets repeatedly rewarded clarity and punished uncertainty. Whether in retail, tech, housing, or trade policy, the consistent pattern was selective participation and limited tolerance for disappointment.
Macro
The Supreme Court struck down many of President Trump’s tariffs imposed under emergency powers, raising questions about up to $175 billion in potential refunds. Stocks moved modestly higher as investors weighed legal uncertainty, refund risks, and broader economic implications.
Earnings
Opendoor (OPEN) reported fourth-quarter revenue of $736 million, topping Wall Street estimates despite a year-over-year decline. Stronger-than-expected results and operational progress helped lift shares, even as profitability challenges and housing market risks remain.
Earnings
Carvana (CVNA) reported strong fourth-quarter revenue growth but missed adjusted EBITDA expectations, sending shares lower. Investors focused on profitability and reconditioning costs despite record unit sales and market share gains.
Earnings
Walmart (WMT) delivered a solid fourth quarter with a dividend hike and a $30 billion buyback, but cautious guidance kept shares muted. Wayfair (W) fell despite an earnings beat, as softer trends and a non-adjusted loss weighed on investor sentiment.
Earnings
DoorDash (DASH) missed fourth-quarter earnings and revenue estimates, sending shares lower initially. However, strong gross order value growth and upbeat first-quarter guidance helped the stock rebound, highlighting investor focus on demand trends and long-term platform strategy.
Sector
Deere (DE) rallied after a beat-and-raise quarter reinforced the view that 2026 marks the cyclical bottom for agricultural equipment, drawing capital back into industrials as rotation broadened beyond defensives.
Earnings
Caesars Entertainment (CZR) rallied after delivering better-than-feared results and outlining stronger 2026 free cash flow, shifting focus away from Las Vegas softness and toward capital return potential.
Earnings
Palo Alto Networks beat second-quarter estimates, but weaker earnings guidance and margin pressure tied to acquisitions weighed on shares despite stronger revenue projections.
Price Action
Toll Brothers shares rose after the luxury homebuilder topped first-quarter earnings and revenue expectations while reaffirming its full-year outlook, easing concerns about demand in a choppy housing market.
Business Trends
Norwegian Cruise Line stock jumped after activist investor Elliott Investment Management disclosed a more than 10% stake and outlined plans to push for strategic and governance changes.